Articles
Analysis and updates on events that shape nuclear risk.
who started the iran israel war: timeline, evidence, and what the sources show
who started the iran israel war is answered with a source-based timeline: Israel launched the first June 13, 2025 strikes inside Iran, followed by Iranian retaliation and a wider US-Iran escalation track.
IAEA Unable to Access Iranian Nuclear Facilities After US-Israeli Strikes
IAEA inspectors have been unable to access Iranian nuclear facilities since Operation Epic Fury began, leaving the status of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile unknown and raising urgent nonproliferation concerns.
Iran vs Israel Military Power: A Complete 2026 Comparison
Iran vs Israel military power compared across every dimension — personnel, airpower, missiles, defense spending, and nuclear risk. See how these two Middle East rivals stack up in 2026.
Nuclear Threat Assessment: Where the Iran Crisis Goes From Here
With Iran's leadership decapitated, nuclear facilities damaged, and US forces engaged across the Gulf, NukeClock analysts examine the three most likely escalation scenarios and what each means for the global nuclear threat level.
Trump Promises More Strikes on Iran as U.S. Adds to Forces in Mideast
President Trump has vowed to continue Operation Epic Fury against Iran, promising heavier strikes ahead as the Pentagon confirms ~50,000 troops and two carrier strike groups now in theater. Six U.S. service members have been killed and 18 seriously wounded on Day 3 of the conflict.
US Deploys 50,000 Troops to Middle East as Operation Epic Fury Escalates
The Pentagon confirms a massive military buildup across the Persian Gulf region as President Trump pledges continued strikes against Iran. Two carrier strike groups, 120+ aircraft, and advanced missile systems now in theater.
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz: 20% of Global Oil Supply Disrupted
Iran has formally closed the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping following retaliatory strikes on US bases, disrupting approximately 20% of the world's oil supply and triggering a global energy crisis.
Iran Launches Retaliatory Strikes on US Bases Across the Persian Gulf
The IRGC fired over 170 ballistic missiles and 500+ drones at American military installations in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and five other countries — marking the most significant direct attack on US forces since World War II.
Naval Incident Escalates Tensions in Disputed Waters
A naval confrontation in contested territory has prompted a reassessment of nuclear risk indicators.
Iran Confirms Supreme Leader Khamenei Killed in US-Israeli Strikes
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a coordinated US-Israeli airstrike on Tehran on February 28, 2026 — the first targeted killing of a sitting head of state in modern warfare. NukeClock moves 15 seconds closer to midnight.
New Diplomatic Channel Opens Between Major Powers
A bilateral communication initiative signals potential de-escalation amid rising tensions.
US-Israeli Strikes Hit Nuclear Facilities at Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz
Coordinated US-Israeli airstrikes during Operation Epic Fury targeted Iran's three primary nuclear facilities at Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz. The full extent of damage to Iran's enrichment infrastructure remains unknown.
Geneva Nuclear Negotiations Collapse After US Demands Complete Enrichment Halt
Geneva nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran collapsed on February 27, 2026, after the US demanded a complete halt to uranium enrichment — a condition Iran rejected. The diplomatic failure preceded Operation Epic Fury by less than 24 hours.
Regional Proxy Conflict Escalates as Iran's Network Activates Across the Middle East
Iran's proxy network — Hezbollah, Houthis, and Iraqi Shia militias — has escalated operations across Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and the Red Sea as the US-Iran conflict intensifies, raising the risk of a multi-front regional war.
Critical Infrastructure Targeted in Coordinated Cyber Campaign Before Iran Strikes
A coordinated cyber campaign attributed to Iranian state actors targeted critical infrastructure across the US and allied nations on February 26, 2026 — two days before Operation Epic Fury launched — marking a new front in the escalating conflict.